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ۼ : ٶ    ۼ : 17-02-07 ȸ : 1,690 õ : 15 ȣ :51
1 CIA к 5.18ѱ ߴ ߿

1 20 е 緡 5.18 ̻ ȸ ϸ '5.18 ѱ ' ߴ. ̶ ȸ ߴ 緡 ѱ ٰ ŷ ̱ CIA ̾.



а е 緡 ٰŷ "ѱ 518ȭ ʾҴٴ ̱ ߾(CIA) ǿ Ȯεƴ" ߴ. ׷ ̾. е ߰ų ְ ̾.




NSC(ȸ) ϴ 3 , ̴ܶ. 5.18 ܶ ù° ٿ ִ 常 Ͽ ѱ ٰ ߴ. ù ̷. ȭ ġ Ȳ Ͽ  ӵ ʰ ִ. ׷ ü 5.18 ݴ.



ü ܶ ؼϸ ̷ ̴. ǰȥ ̴. ǰȥ ܱ ٹ Ȱ Ȱ ϰ ִ ̴.



ȭ ġ Ȳ Ͽ  ӵ ʰ ִ. 1979⿡ ߻ 10.26 12.12´ ߴ. װ Ȳ ƴϴ. 츮 1979 12 20 SNIE 42/14.2-79 1980 2 8 ޺ ߵ, ѿ ϰ Ȳ Ͽ ѹݵ ϵ ߱ ִ. ƽþƿ ̽ ó ̰, ̱ Ȳ ɷ° ɷ ߴϰ ȭǾٰ ǴѴٸ ̴.


ܶ ؼ , ѱ ٴ ƴ϶, ݴ ȥ Ȳ ߵǸ ѱ ɼ ٴ ̴. 5.18 ܶ ̾Ƴ ü ݴ Ǵ ģ ̴. ϳ ü ȣϴ ̾.


뿡 1979 12 20ڡSNIE 42/14.2-79 ̹ ѱ ɼ ߾ٰ ִ. SNIE 42/14.2-79 1979 CIA ۼ , Ȳ ѱ ⿡ ̾. Ϻ ־, ꡯ þҴ. ̱ ü ̴.


8. Thus we believe that North Korean military intervention would likely take the form of a large-scale, coordinated ground, naval, and air assault against the South. Large numbers of ranger-commando troops would be inserted both innediately behind the South's frontlines and deep into the interior to support frontal attacks by conventional ground forces across the Demilitarized Zone.

The North's Air Force would attempt to neutralize the South Korean and US close-air-support capability by attacking airfields and command and control and air defense sites. The North Korean Navy would support assaults on key coastal targets and conduct antishipping operations off the South's coasts.



ѱ ѿ ൿ() Ը ذ ¸ ϴ´. Ը Ư(Ưδ) ģ ϱ ﰢ ĸ( ٷ Ĺ) Ĺ η ÿ Ե ̴.

, ּ, ü ִ μ ѱ ̱ ɷ ȭ Ϸ ̴. ر ֿ ؾ ǥ ̰, ؾ  () ̴.



Ÿ CIA й ̷ ̴.



ȭ ġ Ȳ ѱ , 79 2 80 2 ̹ ޺ ߵ, Ȳ ѱ ߱ ְ, ̱ ٸ ó ̰ų, ̷ Ȳ ̱ ɷ ȭǾٰ Ǵϸ ̴.( ࿡ ű ̴)



ѱ ٴ ƴ϶ ϰ ѱ ġ ɼ ִ ̴. ѱ ϴ ƴ϶, 5.18 Ǽ ְ ִ . ƿ ٸ 𸣵 ϰ ֱ⿡, 5.18 ޹ħ ִ μ ġ .



5.18 ƿ ߴ. ̷ 5.18 ϻ̴. ̷ ü ο ȯؾ ϴ. 5.18 Ҿ а е鵵 ̱ . ̷ β ͵ ȭ ̶, õ̴.



ֽ ǰȥ԰ Բ 縦 帰.

ݿ ٿ ִ.




ٶ ߿


õ : 15
߹ùοȸ(߿)

 
 
 

Total 114
߿     ۼ       ۼ ȸ õ
54 ڱ ϶, ? ٶ 03-13 1535 16
53 󵵴 ߱ ģ ̴? ٶ 03-08 1483 16
52 4.3ȸ Ȩ Ǵ ٶ 03-07 1712 16
51 ѹα ޱ ٶ 03-06 1583 16
50 θ ǥߴٰ, һ! ٶ 02-21 1555 16
49 蹮, 蹫 ߶߳? ٶ 02-17 1632 13
48 ¿ 'ΰ' ༮ ٶ 02-13 1715 18
47 ι 屺, ʽÿ ٶ 02-10 1735 17
46 ռ 2 4õ ¥ ð ٶ 02-09 1710 19
45 CIA к 5.18ѱ ߴ ٶ 02-07 1691 15
44 ѹα Ȳ ȣϰ ִ ٶ 02-01 1766 17
43 ߱ кҽ ߴٰ? ٶ 01-30 1757 17
42 'ּ' ȹ Ʈ Ʈ ٶ 01-26 2161 25
41 CIA й 5.18 и ° ٶ 01-22 1692 19
40 5.18 5.18 ڹ̵ ٶ 01-14 1712 15
39 ڱ ڻ, ̷ Ѵ ٶ 01-12 1847 14
38 "ȣ !" ̽׸ 70 ٶ 01-08 2006 20
37 ȣɿ , ȴ . ٶ 01-06 1570 17
36 δ â ٶ 01-05 1649 14
35 Ȳ Ѵ, ĺ TOP4 ϴ ٶ 01-04 1549 15
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